Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
DER
3 - 1
EVE
59%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
DER
1 - 0
WBA
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
7 - 0
DER
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
DER
0 - 2
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
SHW
1 - 3
WOL
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
SHW
0 - 2
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
SUN
2 - 1
SHW
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 1
SHW
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
SHW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |