Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1935 |
MID
1 - 1
DER
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
DER
1 - 2
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 3
DER
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
TOT
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1935 |
SHW
3 - 0
BUR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 1
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1935 |
WOL
2 - 2
SHW
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
SHW
2 - 1
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 0
LEE
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |