Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
DER
2 - 1
BBU
62%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
LEE
0 - 2
DER
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
DER
1 - 2
LIV
62%
18%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
GRI
2 - 1
DER
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
DER
3 - 1
ASV
52%
21%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHW
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
SHW
4 - 1
BPO
73%
14%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1932 |
GRI
3 - 1
SHW
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 2
SHW
54%
20%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
SHW
3 - 2
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |