Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 0
DER
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 2
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
DER
2 - 3
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1927 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
SHW
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
LIV
3 - 0
SHW
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1927 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHW
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
WBA
2 - 2
SHW
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1927 |
SHW
4 - 1
SUN
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |