Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
OLD
3 - 0
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
DER
1 - 1
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
DER
3 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
BOL
3 - 0
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
MAC
4 - 2
SHW
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
BBU
1 - 0
SHW
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 0
BBU
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 0
SHW
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |