Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 2
DER
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
SHE
4 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
DER
3 - 3
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
SHW
3 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
BBU
0 - 1
SHW
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 0
SHW
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
SHE
0 - 2
SHW
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1913 |
SHW
2 - 2
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |