Derby County vs Sheffield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
BPO
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
DER
5 - 0
QPR
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
QPR
1 - 1
DER
37%
22%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
LIV
4 - 0
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
SHE
2 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1948 |
WOL
1 - 1
SHE
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
SHE
3 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
SUN
1 - 1
SHE
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |