Derby County vs Sheffield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 2
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
DER
1 - 0
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
DER
1 - 1
BBU
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
1 - 0
DER
56%
21%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
DER
4 - 1
HUR
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
SHW
1 - 3
SHE
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
SHE
5 - 1
BPO
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BPO
2 - 1
SHE
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
SHE
4 - 2
MID
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |