Derby County vs Sheffield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 1
DER
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 1
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
DER
3 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 1
SHE
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 1
BBU
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 0
PNE
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |