Derby County vs Sheffield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
SHW
1 - 1
DER
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
DER
0 - 0
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 0
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
SHE
2 - 1
NOT
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 3
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
SHE
1 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
5 - 1
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
SHE
0 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |