Derby County vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
STO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
DER
2 - 1
WIG
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ASV
4 - 0
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
NTT
1 - 0
DER
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 2
NOR
18%
23%
60%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 2
ROT
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SHE
2 - 0
ROT
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ROT
3 - 2
BBU
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |