Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 0
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 2
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
DER
5 - 1
COL
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
DER
0 - 2
STO
54%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
QPR
1 - 1
SHW
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
IPS
2 - 1
QPR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
QPR
1 - 1
PLY
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
LEE
0 - 0
QPR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
SOU
5 - 0
QPR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |