Derby County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
DER
1 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
65%
18%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
DER
3 - 1
BPO
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
DER
2 - 2
SUN
64%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 3
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
4 - 1
PNE
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
3 - 2
CHL
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
0 - 3
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 0
PNE
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |