Derby County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
CHL
0 - 2
DER
51%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
DER
5 - 1
MUD
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 3
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
DER
2 - 1
BPO
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 1
BPO
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 2
OPA
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
STO
3 - 1
PNE
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |