Derby County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 0
DER
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
DER
0 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
MID
2 - 0
DER
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1920 |
SHE
0 - 0
DER
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 0
SHW
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
PNE
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |