Derby County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
BUR
5 - 1
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 0
DER
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
DER
4 - 2
MUD
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
OLD
0 - 0
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
2 - 4
SHE
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
2 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
MID
4 - 1
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
LIV
3 - 1
PNE
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |