Derby County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
DER
2 - 2
MAC
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 0
DER
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
PNE
4 - 2
MID
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 1
PNE
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
0 - 3
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |