Derby County vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
WBA
1 - 0
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
OPA
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
DER
3 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
DER
1 - 3
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
TOT
3 - 1
OPA
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
OPA
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
OPA
1 - 0
MUD
49%
23%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
STO
2 - 0
OPA
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
OPA
3 - 0
BOL
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |