Derby County vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
1 - 3
DER
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
DER
3 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
OPA
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
1 - 3
DER
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
MID
8 - 2
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 1
HUR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |