Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
DER
1 - 1
PNE
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 1
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
DER
2 - 1
HUR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
DER
1 - 1
BRA
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 2
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 1
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
SHE
3 - 0
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 1
OLD
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |