Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
DER
3 - 3
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
SHW
1 - 3
DER
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
DER
1 - 2
WBA
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
EVE
5 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
1 - 2
SHE
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
MID
0 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
LIV
0 - 3
OLD
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |