Derby County vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
DER
1 - 3
CHL
11%
18%
72%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MID
2 - 0
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
DER
3 - 0
BHA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 2
DER
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 0
HUR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WIG
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 3
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NTT
2 - 1
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |