Derby County vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
BHA
0 - 0
DER
34%
26%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
STO
1 - 2
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
DER
0 - 3
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
SHW
2 - 1
DER
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
DER
3 - 3
IPS
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COV
2 - 2
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 0
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
WOL
2 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |