Derby County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HUL
2 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
DER
1 - 0
WIG
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
DER
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
LUT
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
DER
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MID
0 - 0
FUL
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
HUR
0 - 0
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MID
0 - 1
WBA
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |