Derby County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
LIV
1 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
DER
2 - 2
LEE
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
DER
0 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
NTT
3 - 0
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
MID
1 - 1
IPS
37%
29%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
COV
2 - 1
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
MID
1 - 2
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
WBA
2 - 1
MID
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
MID
2 - 0
NEW
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |