Derby County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
DER
1 - 3
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
DER
4 - 3
PNE
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
TOT
5 - 0
DER
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
DER
0 - 3
MUD
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
MID
2 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
MID
1 - 0
BPO
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
MID
2 - 1
OPA
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |