Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
CAR
2 - 0
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
PLY
0 - 5
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
DER
1 - 2
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 2
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
SCU
1 - 1
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
LIV
1 - 2
MID
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
LIV
2 - 0
SCU
82%
11%
6%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
SHE
2 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1959 |
BRI
1 - 0
LIV
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |