Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
BIR
2 - 3
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
DER
0 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1936 |
DER
0 - 4
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
FUL
3 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
LIV
0 - 2
WOL
63%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1936 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEE
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
HUR
1 - 0
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
LIV
2 - 0
OPA
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
ASV
3 - 0
LIV
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |