Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
DER
3 - 4
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 4
DER
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1928 |
NTT
2 - 0
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
DER
0 - 0
NTT
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
LEI
4 - 0
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 3
WHU
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 5
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 4
LIV
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |