Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 1
DER
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
STO
3 - 0
DER
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1926 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
DER
1 - 0
OLD
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
MID
1 - 2
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1926 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
LIV
4 - 2
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHE
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BBU
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |