Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
DER
0 - 1
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
DER
0 - 1
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 0
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
DER
1 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 0
BBU
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
TOT
1 - 0
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |