Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
DER
2 - 1
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
DER
0 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
LIV
4 - 1
BBU
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1912 |
SHE
4 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
SHW
1 - 0
LIV
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
WBA
3 - 1
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |