Derby County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
LEE
3 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 1
DER
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DER
2 - 2
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
DER
1 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 0
BHA
64%
22%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LEI
1 - 2
QPR
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 1
BPO
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 0
LEI
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEI
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |