Derby County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
LIV
2 - 1
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
NTT
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
DER
0 - 1
NEW
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
DER
0 - 2
WIM
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
DER
2 - 2
LUT
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
LEI
2 - 0
NEW
18%
24%
59%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
YOR
0 - 2
LEI
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
WHU
1 - 0
LEI
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LEI
1 - 3
CHL
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LEI
1 - 0
LEE
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |