Derby County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
DER
0 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
1 - 3
DER
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1939 |
LEI
5 - 3
MID
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
MID
3 - 2
LEI
79%
13%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
LEI
3 - 4
BPO
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LEI
0 - 2
ARS
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |