Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 1
DER
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
BHA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
WHU
3 - 1
DER
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 1
REA
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
LEE
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LEE
2 - 0
MIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
NTT
0 - 4
LEE
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LEE
1 - 2
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |