Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CRY
2 - 0
DER
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
DER
1 - 0
LUT
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
IPS
2 - 1
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
DER
1 - 1
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 1
IPS
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEE
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 0
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
LEE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LEE
2 - 1
PLY
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |