Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
LEI
0 - 0
DER
35%
30%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
FCS
1 - 0
DER
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
DER
2 - 3
LEE
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
DER
4 - 2
QPR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
LEE
2 - 1
EVE
79%
15%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
LEE
5 - 0
RAP
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
DER
2 - 3
LEE
38%
27%
35%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
LEE
2 - 0
WBA
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
LEE
1 - 1
CHL
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |