Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
DER
64%
21%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
DER
3 - 1
CRY
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
NTT
1 - 3
DER
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
DER
3 - 0
WHU
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
LEE
1 - 3
SOU
81%
14%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
MUD
0 - 1
LEE
43%
26%
31%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1970 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
43%
26%
32%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
WOL
1 - 2
LEE
25%
28%
47%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
LEE
1 - 0
SDL
74%
16%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |