Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
DER
3 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
PNE
4 - 1
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
DER
0 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LEE
1 - 0
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
BRE
0 - 1
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LEE
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEE
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
LEE
1 - 2
EVE
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |