Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
CHA
1 - 2
DER
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1937 |
DER
5 - 3
WBA
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1937 |
BIR
1 - 0
DER
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1937 |
DER
1 - 1
MID
64%
18%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1937 |
DER
1 - 3
BRE
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
LEE
1 - 1
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1937 |
LEI
2 - 4
LEE
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1937 |
LEE
1 - 2
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1937 |
EVE
1 - 1
LEE
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1937 |
LEE
1 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |