Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
BPO
4 - 1
DER
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1932 |
DER
1 - 1
BPO
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
DER
0 - 0
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
NEW
0 - 0
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1932 |
DER
4 - 4
WOL
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
LEE
0 - 0
ARS
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 2
LEE
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
LEE
4 - 3
BOL
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
MID
0 - 1
LEE
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1932 |
LEE
1 - 1
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |