Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BUR
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 0
DER
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1927 |
LIV
3 - 2
DER
66%
19%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
DER
0 - 2
ARS
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
WHU
1 - 2
DER
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
ARS
1 - 0
LEE
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
LEE
1 - 1
SHE
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1927 |
LEE
2 - 3
MUD
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
BOL
3 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |