Derby County vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 2
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WAT
2 - 0
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
DER
1 - 0
COV
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
DER
1 - 2
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WIM
0 - 2
DER
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
IPS
1 - 5
WIM
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 1
IPS
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
IPS
3 - 0
OPA
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
COV
2 - 4
IPS
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
IPS
3 - 4
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |