Derby County vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
DER
0 - 2
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
DER
1 - 1
NOR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
NTT
1 - 1
DER
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
DER
0 - 0
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1979 |
IPS
0 - 1
LIV
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
EVE
0 - 1
IPS
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
LEY
0 - 2
IPS
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1979 |
IPS
6 - 1
BRO
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
IPS
0 - 0
LEY
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |