Derby County vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1977 |
DER
2 - 0
QPR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
WHU
2 - 2
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
ARS
0 - 0
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
DER
4 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1977 |
COV
2 - 0
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1977 |
IPS
2 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
LIV
2 - 1
IPS
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
IPS
0 - 1
MID
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
LEE
2 - 1
IPS
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
IPS
1 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |