Derby County vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
DER
3 - 1
EVE
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1973 |
DER
0 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
DER
1 - 1
WHU
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
COV
0 - 2
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 1
SHE
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
LEI
1 - 1
IPS
42%
29%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
IPS
2 - 1
WOL
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
CRY
1 - 1
IPS
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |