Championship Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
IPS
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
BHA
1 - 1
DER
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 3
DER
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
DER
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
HUL
5 - 1
ROT
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 0
HUL
14%
27%
60%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
HUL
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HUL
2 - 2
LEE
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 2
HUL
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |