Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 0
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
LEI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 1
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
IPS
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
NTT
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 1
HUL
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 0
PNE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SCU
1 - 5
HUL
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 2
LEE
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HUL
0 - 0
QPR
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |