Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1955 |
LIN
3 - 0
DER
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
DER
1 - 2
STO
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
SWA
3 - 0
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
ROT
2 - 1
DER
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
DER
1 - 4
SWA
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1955 |
HUL
0 - 3
BIR
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1955 |
HUL
1 - 1
DON
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1955 |
IPS
2 - 0
HUL
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
FUL
0 - 1
HUL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
HUL
1 - 0
BCF
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |